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FiveThirtyEight

New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady, left, and Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning after a game Sunday in Foxborough, Massachusetts. The Patriots won 43-21.
In this June 3, 1993, file photo, Alex Rodriguez listens on the telephone as the Seattle Mariners ask him to join their team as the No. 1 pick in the baseball draft.
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Mark Sanchez celebrates after throwing an 8-yard touchdown pass to Jeremy Maclin during the fourth quarter against the Houston Texans on Sunday in Houston.
The San Francisco Giants celebrate after Game 7 of baseball's World Series as Kansas City Royals' Alex Gordon walks off.
LeBron James of the Cleveland Cavaliers gets introduced before a game against the New York Knicks on Thursday in Cleveland, Ohio.
Washington players celebrate after defeating the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Dallas on Monday.
Mississippi State Bulldogs quarterback Dak Prescott dives for a touchdown against the Kentucky Wildcats in the first half at Commonwealth Stadium.
The top four players by wins above replacement in the upper half of the NBA's Eastern Conference, from left to right: Kyle Lowry, Joakim Noah, Kevin Love and LeBron James.
Jarrod Dyson of the Kansas City Royals at bat in the third inning of Game 4 of the 2014 World Series at AT&T Park  in San Francisco.
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