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FiveThirtyEight

Maryland's governor-elect, Republican Larry Hogan, speaks to supporters in the state capital, Annapolis, after defeating Democrat Anthony Brown on Tuesday.
U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu gathers with supporters at the Hyatt Regency on Nov. 4, 2014, in New Orleans.
President Obama, left, and U.S. Rep. Mike Michaud, the Maine Democratic gubernatorial candidate, during a campaign rally in Portland, Maine, on Thursday.
A cyclist passes a sea of campaign signs outside an early voting polling site on Oct. 20 in San Antonio.
House Speaker John Boehner of Ohio, left, speaks during a news conference on Capitol Hill in Washington in September.
Connecticut Gov. Dan Malloy speaks before introducing President Obama during a rally at Central High School on Sunday in Bridgeport, Connecticut.
Republican U.S. Senate candidate Rep. Tom Cotton of Arkansas, left, speaks with New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at a political rally in Jonesboro, Arkansas.
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire and Republican challenger Scott Brown, the former senator of Massachusetts, during a debate in Manchester, New Hampshire.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell speaks to voters at Furches Farm in Murray, Kentucky, on Tuesday.
Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts campaigns for Bruce Braley on Oct. 19 in Des Moines, Iowa.
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