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Kate Sinding’s Blog

New poll: New Yorkers overwhelming support fracking moratorium - and clean energy

Kate Sinding

Posted October 7, 2014 in Curbing Pollution, Health and the Environment

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Last month, NRDC engaged a nationally recognized opinion research firm to conduct polling in New York State to evaluate public attitudes about fracking and clean energy.  Importantly, this is the first statewide poll in at least two years – and perhaps ever – to directly ask residents their views of the now six-year-old de facto moratorium on fracking. 

The results were overwhelming: nearly 8 in 10 New Yorkers support the moratorium, and support crosses geographical, ideological and racial divides.  At the same time, respondents showed tremendous support for renewable energy. 

The upshot is clear: New Yorkers want clean energy, not fracking. Here are some of the key takeaways from the poll:

New Yorkers from all walks of life strongly support the fracking moratorium

Fully 79 percent of those polled support Governor Cuomo’s on-going moratorium on new fracking in the state.  And that support is bipartisan, with 84 percent of Democrats, 74 percent of Independents and 73 percent of Republicans backing it.  Support also extends upstate, with 77 percent of urban upstate residents, 73 percent of upstate rural residents and 60 percent of residents in the counties most likely to experience fracking saying they favor the moratorium.  In addition, support tops three in four among whites (77%), African Americans (85%) and Latinos (86%).

New Yorkers resoundingly favor clean energy

A second major finding of the poll is that the vast majority of New Yorkers want more clean energy and less dirty energy.  A stunning 92 percent of respondents are in favor of increasing the use of solar to meet the state’s future energy needs, while 89 percent support increased wind and 76% want more hydropower.  In stark contrast, majorities of New Yorkers oppose the increased use of coal and nuclear power, and by wide margins (52% oppose to 40% support for coal, and 52% oppose for nuclear versus 48% support).

Further, when asked to choose, New Yorkers pick renewables over natural gas. Of those polled, 61 percent indicated support for development of clean, renewable energy sources over natural gas, while just 25 percent chose gas.

Opposition to fracking outweighs support and holds strong upstate

Like other polls conducted over recent years in New York, our poll showed a clear majority oppose fracking.  Specifically, 56 percent of respondents across the state oppose fracking, while only 35 percent support it.  Urban and rural upstate residents oppose fracking at a rate of 54 percent, compare to 40 and 38 percent who support it, respectively.  In the counties where fracking is most likely to occur, 48 percent oppose it, compared to 44 percent who support it.

New Yorkers fear fracking’s impacts on communities

A fourth significant finding is that most New Yorkers think fracking will negatively impact communities.  Of those polled, 55 percent said they think fracking is generally bad for local communities because of the impacts to water, land and health.  Meanwhile, only 27 percent believe it is generally good for local communities because of jobs, tax revenue and economic development.

Most believe any economic benefits of fracking will be fleeting

While the oil and gas industry loves to trumpet the supposed economic upsides of fracking, New Yorkers aren’t being fooled.  Among respondents, 60 percent believe jobs from fracking are likely to be temporary.  Only 26 percent believe that fracking jobs will be permanent or that new fracking will bring economic revitalization to the state.

What does it all mean?

Across party lines – from the city to the country – New Yorkers have made it clear that they want a better future for this state than those that have been ravaged by the oil and gas industry.  People here know that fracking is a snake oil cure for economic woes, one that comes with steep costs – in the form of water pollution, air contamination, health issues and destroyed communities.  Instead, we want to harness clean energy from the sun and the wind to power our homes, create more jobs and revive our economies for years to come.

The broad support for the moratorium reflects the public's growing awareness of the many scientific studies showing serious risks posed by drilling and fracking, including water contamination, air pollution and negative health impacts. We hope that these powerful polling results will show Governor Cuomo and elected officials across the state that New Yorkers support the existing moratorium on fracking.  Now the Governor should impose a formal minimum 3-year moratorium - as we and the health and medical community have called for - while critical scientific studies continue.

A formal moratorium will also provide crucial space for expansion of the clean energy economy that the Cuomo Administration has done so much to foster, including through last month’s announcement of $5 billion of new investment in clean power over the next 10 years.

With new studies coming out on a nearly weekly basis that show that the risks fracking poses to public health and the environment are real and immediate, New York should continue to be a model of cautious, deliberative decision making on fracking – while also being a shining beacon for the clean energy future.

New Yorkers have made clear that they demand nothing less.

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Comments

Stan ScobieOct 7 2014 09:41 AM

Can you post a link to the cross-tabs?

Already this morning, the Albany Times-Union (10-7-14) has a report with part of the graphic depictions of the results in error (totals more than 100%).

Thus, it would be good to have the raw data available.

Sheila CohenOct 7 2014 10:24 AM

A few questions:

What were the questions?

Did you remove the effects of those indicating "don't know" from the analysis? Was that suppose to be "don't know much about fracking?"

That would explain why the numbers on the Times Union graph don't add up! Or -- how do you explain the discrepancy in numbers on those graphs??

Kate SindingOct 7 2014 10:34 AM

We are currently working to make the questions and results available, and to correct the misprint in the Times Union story. Here are the correct numbers for the first pie chart:

Oppose 56%
Support 37%
Don’t know 6%

The exact question asked was: "From what you have heard [about fracking (asked only of respondents who said they had heard about it)], would you support or oppose the use of fracking to extract natural gas in New York?"

Stan ScobieOct 7 2014 10:39 AM

Piling on:

Most scientific polls report their number of respondents and the margin of error.

NRDC does not do this either here or in their pressrelease.

Also, it would be nice to have a statement about the poilling methodology as to the sampling method and the likely representativeness of the results.

Finally, and glaringly, these deficiencies and the appearance of possible "managing" come at the same time as both NY and CA administrations have been revealed to have been active and probably inappropriate intervenors in what was purported to be an independent and "non-political" scientific analysis related to fracking.

NRDC can do better.

Stanley R Scobie, Senior Fellow, PSE Healthy Energy.

Kate SindingOct 7 2014 10:42 AM

Stan, please give me a few moments to get the information posted and available to the public on our website. I assure you we are not trying to hide the ball.

Kate SindingOct 7 2014 10:50 AM

FYI, we then asked this question:

Next, let me tell you a little more about this process. Hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, is a method of oil and natural gas extraction that involves forcing hundreds of thousands of gallons of water into each well, mixed with sand and chemicals, under high pressure deep into the earth. Fracking breaks up underground rock formations to allow the extraction of oil and natural gas that might be otherwise hard to reach. Having heard this, do you support or oppose the use of fracking to extract natural gas in New York?

The results are:

Oppose 56%
Support 35%
DK/NA 9%

Full results to come and working to correct misprint in TU. Please be patient and stay tuned.

Kate SindingOct 7 2014 12:03 PM

The full results, as well as a summary memo from the polling firm, are now available on our website: http://docs.nrdc.org/energy/ene_14100702.asp (and linked to in the post itself). Thank you for your patience.

Patricia GoldsmithOct 7 2014 03:18 PM

This poll reflects the education the anti-fracking community has done. New Yorkers are well informed in spite of millions of dollars of petroleum industry spin! That is quite an achievement. At this point, the anti-fracking community is just COMMUNITIES. All the communities in the Hudson Valley, where I live, are strongly opposed to this toxic industrialization of our beautiful home. Beauty is the basis of our economy. We will fight to preserve it.

Hugh KimballOct 7 2014 04:35 PM

The gas industry has spent millions on TV ads and full page newspaper ads to convince us all that fracking is safe and will bring lots of good jobs to NYS.

They have failed in both efforts. Over the years New Yorkers have paid attention and learned the real truth. Bravo, New Yorkers.

J. ObrigOct 8 2014 01:08 PM

As I talk and educate people about the activities associated with natural gas development and the infrastructure that is built for this, along with the current federal laws made by the US "energy commission", (comprised of Dick Cheney and the energy companies) in 2005 thet made laws exempting gas companies activities from a multitude of the environmental laws: then I explain what "compulsive integration" is where a person who owns 60% of the land in a "unit" and they want to frack and your house is in the same unit, only your land takes up 10% of the unit! you have to allow fracking on your land whether you like it or not, then people understand and say a resounding NO to fracking.

Jerry McCoyOct 8 2014 02:55 PM

Good for the people of New York State. However, I am afraid that this so called "defacto moratorium" is some kind of smoke screen. I'd bet my bottom dollar that the fracking industries are still allowed to develop their infrastructure under this moratorium. Once the infrastructure is laid down, the government will be wringing its hands out of pity for the poor developers who shouldn't be forced to lose the money that they invested already, and the green light for fracking will be given. Why else hasn't the governor signed the anti fracking bil--allowing the continued legalization of fracking--if not to give the frackers the time they need to establish the all important infrastructure? Please find out whether or not this "defacto moratorium" prevents infrastructure from being built. The fact that the frackers are acting upset about it is just another example of crocodile tears hiding their real feelings about it.

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Switchboard is the staff blog of the Natural Resources Defense Council, the nation’s most effective environmental group. For more about our work, including in-depth policy documents, action alerts and ways you can contribute, visit NRDC.org.

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