DEM.*Democrat*
45
DEM.Democrat*
-7 seats
+7 seats
Rep. need
Republicans need
Need
+6 for control
* Includes two independents.
Circle size is proportional to the amount each county's leading candidate is ahead.
Note: Key states are called by New York Times editors. Other states are by The Associated Press.
* Democratic total includes Bernard Sanders, an independent from Vermont and Angus King, an independent from Maine, who caucus with the Democrats.
Big Board
Key Races
|
Alaska
|
45% |
49% |
4% |
100% |
|
Ark.
|
39% |
57% |
2% |
100% |
|
Colo.
|
46% |
49% |
3% |
98% |
|
Ga.
|
45% |
53% |
2% |
100% |
|
Iowa
|
44% |
52% |
2% |
100% |
|
Kan.
|
|
53% |
42% |
100% |
|
Ky.
|
41% |
56% |
3% |
100% |
|
La.
|
42% |
41% |
1% |
100% |
|
Mich.
|
55% |
41% |
2% |
100% |
|
N.C.
|
47% |
49% |
4% |
100% |
|
N.H.
|
52% |
48% |
|
100% |
|
Va.
|
49% |
48% |
2% |
100% |
Democrats expected to win easily
|
Del.
|
56% |
42% |
2% |
100% |
|
Hawaii
|
70% |
28% |
3% |
100% |
|
Ill.
|
53% |
43% |
4% |
100% |
|
Mass.
|
62% |
38% |
|
100% |
|
Minn.
|
53% |
43% |
2% |
100% |
|
N.J.
|
56% |
42% |
1% |
100% |
|
N.M.
|
55% |
45% |
|
100% |
|
Ore.
|
56% |
37% |
3% |
94% |
|
R.I.
|
71% |
29% |
|
100% |
Democrats expected to win narrowly
|
Mich.
|
55% |
41% |
2% |
100% |
|
Va.
|
49% |
48% |
2% |
100% |
Tossup seats
|
Alaska
|
45% |
49% |
4% |
100% |
|
Colo.
|
46% |
49% |
3% |
98% |
|
Ga.
|
45% |
53% |
2% |
100% |
|
Iowa
|
44% |
52% |
2% |
100% |
|
Kan.
|
|
53% |
42% |
100% |
|
N.C.
|
47% |
49% |
4% |
100% |
|
N.H.
|
52% |
48% |
|
100% |
Republicans expected to win narrowly
|
Ark.
|
39% |
57% |
2% |
100% |
|
Ky.
|
41% |
56% |
3% |
100% |
|
La.
|
42% |
41% |
1% |
100% |
Republicans expected to win easily
|
Miss.
|
37% |
60% |
2% |
100% |
|
Idaho
|
35% |
65% |
|
100% |
|
Me.
|
32% |
68% |
|
99% |
|
Ala.
|
|
Unc. |
|
— |
|
Mont.
|
40% |
58% |
2% |
100% |
|
Neb.
|
31% |
65% |
3% |
100% |
|
Okla.
|
29% |
68% |
1% |
100% |
|
Okla.
2
|
29% |
68% |
3% |
100% |
|
S.C.
|
39% |
54% |
4% |
100% |
|
S.C.
2
|
37% |
61% |
2% |
100% |
|
S.D.
|
30% |
50% |
17% |
100% |
|
Tenn.
|
32% |
62% |
3% |
100% |
|
Tex.
|
34% |
62% |
3% |
100% |
|
W.Va.
|
34% |
62% |
2% |
100% |
|
Wyo.
|
18% |
72% |
8% |
100% |
Democrats expected to win easily
|
Del.
|
56% |
42% |
2% |
100% |
|
Hawaii
|
70% |
28% |
3% |
100% |
|
Ill.
|
53% |
43% |
4% |
100% |
|
Mass.
|
62% |
38% |
|
100% |
|
Minn.
|
53% |
43% |
2% |
100% |
|
N.J.
|
56% |
42% |
1% |
100% |
|
N.M.
|
55% |
45% |
|
100% |
|
Ore.
|
56% |
37% |
3% |
94% |
|
R.I.
|
71% |
29% |
|
100% |
Democrats expected to win narrowly
|
Mich.
|
55% |
41% |
2% |
100% |
|
Va.
|
49% |
48% |
2% |
100% |
Tossup seats
|
Alaska
|
45% |
49% |
4% |
100% |
|
Colo.
|
46% |
49% |
3% |
98% |
|
Ga.
|
45% |
53% |
2% |
100% |
|
Iowa
|
44% |
52% |
2% |
100% |
|
Kan.
|
|
53% |
42% |
100% |
|
N.C.
|
47% |
49% |
4% |
100% |
|
N.H.
|
52% |
48% |
|
100% |
Republicans expected to win narrowly
|
Ark.
|
39% |
57% |
2% |
100% |
|
Ky.
|
41% |
56% |
3% |
100% |
|
La.
|
42% |
41% |
1% |
100% |
Republicans expected to win easily
|
Miss.
|
37% |
60% |
2% |
100% |
|
Idaho
|
35% |
65% |
|
100% |
|
Me.
|
32% |
68% |
|
99% |
|
Ala.
|
|
Unc. |
|
— |
|
Mont.
|
40% |
58% |
2% |
100% |
|
Neb.
|
31% |
65% |
3% |
100% |
|
Okla.
|
29% |
68% |
1% |
100% |
|
Okla.
2
|
29% |
68% |
3% |
100% |
|
S.C.
|
39% |
54% |
4% |
100% |
|
S.C.
2
|
37% |
61% |
2% |
100% |
|
S.D.
|
30% |
50% |
17% |
100% |
|
Tenn.
|
32% |
62% |
3% |
100% |
|
Tex.
|
34% |
62% |
3% |
100% |
|
W.Va.
|
34% |
62% |
2% |
100% |
|
Wyo.
|
18% |
72% |
8% |
100% |