Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Crist (D) | Scott (R) | Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 10/7 - 10/23 | -- | -- | 44.2 | 43.7 | Crist +0.5 |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | 10/16 - 10/23 | 5422 LV | 2.0 | 45 | 46 | Scott +1 |
Quinnipiac | 10/14 - 10/20 | 984 LV | 3.1 | 44 | 44 | Tie |
Rasmussen Reports | 10/15 - 10/17 | 1114 LV | 3.0 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
SurveyUSA* | 10/10 - 10/13 | 566 LV | 4.2 | 45 | 41 | Crist +4 |
CNN/Opinion Research* | 10/9 - 10/13 | 610 LV | 4.0 | 44 | 44 | Tie |
TB Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF* | 10/7 - 10/12 | 781 LV | 3.2 | 40 | 40 | Tie |
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10/28/14 -- Polling here has been surprisingly light, but what we have is still consistent with a very close race.
10/19/14 -- The race remains close, although after the now-infamous "fan" debate between Crist and Scott, that might not last.
10/7/14 -- Crist has bounced back in recent polling, and now holds a slight edge in the RCP Average. The high number of undecided voters speaks to the opinion of the electorate on the two candidates.
----------Race Preview----------
The 2014 Florida gubernatorial race is possibly the last aftershock of the raucous 2010 Florida elections. When popular Gov. Charlie Crist decided to run for the Senate, it set off a stampede of aspirants for the governor's mansion. Attorney General Bill McCollum was the Republican pick, and he quickly moved out to a lead in the polls over Democratic nominee Alex Sink. But health care executive Rick Scott spent freely in the Republican primary, edging McCollum despite revelations of criminal investigations into Columbia/HCA, the company Scott used to head. Scott then narrowly won the governor’s race over Sink in the fall.
Scott has never been particularly popular, and was initially marked as one of the most vulnerable GOP incumbents in the country. He then drew a top-flight opponent in Crist. Crist had abandoned the Republican Party to run as an Independent when it became clear that he would lose the 2010 Republican Senate primary to Marco Rubio. He subsequently joined the Democrats. But Crist’s initial lead has melted away, and Scott now leads in most polls.
Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Crist (D) | Scott (R) | Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 10/7 - 10/23 | -- | -- | 44.2 | 43.7 | Crist +0.5 |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | 10/16 - 10/23 | 5422 LV | 2.0 | 45 | 46 | Scott +1 |
Quinnipiac | 10/14 - 10/20 | 984 LV | 3.1 | 44 | 44 | Tie |
Rasmussen Reports | 10/15 - 10/17 | 1114 LV | 3.0 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
SurveyUSA* | 10/10 - 10/13 | 566 LV | 4.2 | 45 | 41 | Crist +4 |
CNN/Opinion Research* | 10/9 - 10/13 | 610 LV | 4.0 | 44 | 44 | Tie |
TB Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF* | 10/7 - 10/12 | 781 LV | 3.2 | 40 | 40 | Tie |
SurveyUSA* | 10/2 - 10/6 | 594 LV | 4.1 | 44 | 42 | Crist +2 |
UNF | 9/29 - 10/8 | 471 LV | 4.7 | 47 | 42 | Crist +5 |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | 9/20 - 10/1 | 5689 LV | 2.0 | 44 | 47 | Scott +3 |
SurveyUSA* | 9/26 - 9/29 | 584 LV | 4.1 | 46 | 40 | Crist +6 |
SurveyUSA* | 9/19 - 9/22 | 588 LV | 4.1 | 42 | 43 | Scott +1 |
Quinnipiac | 9/17 - 9/22 | 991 LV | 3.1 | 44 | 46 | Scott +2 |
SurveyUSA* | 9/12 - 9/15 | 571 LV | 4.2 | 39 | 44 | Scott +5 |
Rasmussen Reports | 9/8 - 9/10 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 42 | 40 | Crist +2 |
SurveyUSA* | 9/5 - 9/8 | 576 LV | 4.2 | 44 | 45 | Scott +1 |
PPP (D) | 9/4 - 9/7 | 818 LV | 3.4 | 44 | 41 | Crist +3 |
Mason-Dixon* | 9/2 - 9/4 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 41 | 43 | Scott +2 |
TB Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF | 8/27 - 8/31 | 814 LV | 3.4 | 38 | 44 | Scott +6 |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | 8/18 - 9/2 | 5962 LV | 2.0 | 43 | 46 | Scott +3 |
SurveyUSA* | 8/27 - 8/28 | 580 LV | 4.2 | 45 | 43 | Crist +2 |
SurveyUSA* | 8/15 - 8/18 | 564 LV | 4.2 | 41 | 44 | Scott +3 |
SurveyUSA | 7/31 - 8/4 | 576 LV | 4.2 | 43 | 45 | Scott +2 |
Rasmussen Reports | 7/29 - 7/30 | 900 LV | 3.0 | 41 | 42 | Scott +1 |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | 7/5 - 7/24 | 6873 RV | -- | 43 | 48 | Scott +5 |
Quinnipiac | 7/17 - 7/21 | 1251 RV | 2.8 | 45 | 40 | Crist +5 |
SurveyUSA | 7/17 - 7/21 | 564 LV | 4.2 | 46 | 40 | Crist +6 |
SurveyUSA | 6/30 - 7/2 | 558 LV | 4.2 | 43 | 45 | Scott +2 |
SurveyUSA | 6/20 - 6/23 | 541 LV | 4.3 | 41 | 42 | Scott +1 |
SurveyUSA | 6/5 - 6/10 | 556 LV | 4.2 | 44 | 40 | Crist +4 |
PPP (D) | 6/6 - 6/9 | 672 RV | 3.8 | 42 | 42 | Tie |
SurveyUSA | 5/20 - 5/22 | 531 LV | 4.3 | 40 | 42 | Scott +2 |
SurveyUSA | 5/9 - 5/12 | 554 LV | 4.2 | 44 | 41 | Crist +3 |
SurveyUSA | 4/25 - 4/28 | 551 LV | 4.3 | 44 | 41 | Crist +3 |
Quinnipiac | 4/23 - 4/28 | 1413 RV | 2.6 | 48 | 38 | Crist +10 |
Rasmussen Reports | 4/21 - 4/22 | 750 LV | 4.0 | 45 | 39 | Crist +6 |
Mason-Dixon* | 4/15 - 4/22 | 700 LV | 3.8 | 42 | 42 | Tie |
Magellan Strategies (R) | 4/14 - 4/15 | 868 LV | 3.3 | 43 | 45 | Scott +2 |
SurveyUSA | 4/10 - 4/14 | 502 LV | 4.5 | 46 | 41 | Crist +5 |
Sunshine State News/VSS | 3/31 - 4/3 | 800 RV | 3.5 | 44 | 45 | Scott +1 |
UNF* | 3/6 - 3/16 | 507 RV | 4.4 | 34 | 33 | Crist +1 |
University of Florida | 1/27 - 2/1 | LV | -- | 47 | 40 | Crist +7 |
Quinnipiac | 1/22 - 1/27 | 1565 RV | 2.5 | 46 | 38 | Crist +8 |
PPP (D) | 1/16 - 1/21 | 591 RV | 4.0 | 43 | 41 | Crist +2 |
Quinnipiac | 11/12 - 11/17 | 1646 RV | 2.4 | 47 | 40 | Crist +7 |
UNF | 9/30 - 10/8 | 526 RV | 4.3 | 44 | 40 | Crist +4 |
PPP (D) | 9/27 - 9/29 | 579 RV | 4.1 | 50 | 38 | Crist +12 |
Quinnipiac | 6/11 - 6/16 | 1176 RV | 2.9 | 47 | 37 | Crist +10 |
PPP (D) | 3/15 - 3/18 | 500 RV | 4.4 | 52 | 40 | Crist +12 |
Quinnipiac | 3/13 - 3/18 | 1000 RV | 3.1 | 50 | 34 | Crist +16 |
PPP (D) | 1/11 - 1/13 | 501 RV | 4.4 | 53 | 39 | Crist +14 |