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FiveThirtyEight

Seattle Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman stretches Sunday before a game against the New York Giants in Seattle.
A spectator at the NFL football game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Jacksonville Jaguars at Wembley Stadium in London on Sunday.
Sen. Mark Warner with his wife, Lisa Collis, during an election party in Arlington, Virginia, on Wednesday.
Senator Mark R. Warner gestures to reporters after entering his voting form, on Nov. 04, 2014, in Alexandria, Va.
U.S. Rep. Tom Cotton, Arkansas's Republican nominee in the race for U.S. Senate, greets supporters during a rally in North Little Rock, Ark., on Nov. 3, 2014.
Someone voting on Nov. 3, 1952 in New York City.
Democratic Senate candidate Bruce Braley holds a copy of the "Dewey Defeats Truman" photo as he speaks to supporters during a campaign stop Monday in Ottumwa, Iowa.
From left, Georgia U.S. Senate candidates David Perdue, the Republican; Michelle Nunn, the Democrat; and Amanda Swafford, the Libertarian, participate in a debate Sunday in Atlanta.
Former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, left, appears at a get-out-the-vote rally in support of Democratic U.S. Sen. Al Franken, second from left, and Gov. Mark Dayton at Macalester College in St. Paul, Minnesota. At right is Sen. Amy Klobuchar.
Democratic Sen. Mark Udall of Colorado speaks to volunteers during a campaign stop Saturday in Boulder, Colorado.
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