The Upshot
Arkansas, a Demographic Challenge for Democrats
By NATE COHN
Changes in the state’s population have helped create a political climate far more favorable to Republicans.
The Race for the Midterms in the House and Senate
Changes in the state’s population have helped create a political climate far more favorable to Republicans.
The Democratic path to 50 Senate seats is narrow, but still very possible. Here's how.
Three more months of data are in, and the state is still collecting much less income tax than it expected.
The Democrats have struggled to defend their Senate ground but are still in the game because they’ve brought Kansas and Georgia into play.
The tools to target the most valuable segments of the electorate are slowly being put to use.
Nevada’s early voting numbers highlight the challenge of interpreting the data. Colorado’s numbers may be more relevant.
Roy Cho has portrayed Representative Scott Garrett, a sixth-term incumbent in a suburban district, as only a reluctant supporter of relief funds two years ago.
Even if they did not receive a single vote from a Latino, anywhere in the United States, Republicans could most likely retain control of the House.
Many people still feel a lack of opportunity as wage growth remains stagnant.
A way of life is eroding as small towns hemorrhage younger residents, a potent but unpredictable undercurrent in a closely fought Senate race.
Republicans’ use of illegal immigration as an issue in several Senate campaigns is raising questions about what the party wants to be in the longer term.
First, we posed a tough question: Did Republicans need Hispanic voters to retain the House in 2012?
Scott Walker’s job as governor is not all that is at stake: His currency as a presidential contender will surely vanish if he cannot win a second term.
The decision, which contained no reasoning, set the ground rules for the current election; early voting there starts on Monday.
Gov. Paul R. LePage, a tough-talking Republican, is seeking a second term in a state known for electing moderates and independents.
The rules at the Crist-Scott debate allowed for fans if “necessary” to correct “temperature issues.” But who decides what temperature is an issue?
There are a dozen competitive and close Senate contests. All around, it might be the most compelling general election in a decade.
The Kansas secretary of state has become a lightning rod on restrictive voting and illegal immigration and now faces a tough re-election fight.
Befitting Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo’s political stature, the event was heavily guarded and stage-managed, but it attracted only a modest crowd of would-be readers of his new memoir.
A chance to survey people on the same subject at nearly the same time, using two different methods that have been hotly debated among pollsters.
Kansas becomes a tossup, and several key campaigns are trending toward the Republicans.
The party is giving up efforts to unseat Republicans in several races to focus its money and effort on protecting its embattled incumbents.
In debates between Gov. Dannel P. Malloy and Thomas C. Foley, who squared off in the 2010 race, the level of hostility is unusual for the state’s politicians.
The race between Representative Michael Grimm and his opponent, Domenic Recchia, has grown toxic as they fight for voters on Staten Island and in Brooklyn.
The judges said confusion would result if they blocked the law before the election, but they put off consideration of whether it should stand permanently.
Senate General Election | End date | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Adjusted margin | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kan. | Rasmussen Reports | 8/7 | 40% | 44% | Roberts* +4 | +3 |
Kan. | YouGov | 7/24 | 37% | 54% | Roberts* +17 | +16 |
Kan. | SurveyUSA | 7/22 | 33% | 38% | Roberts* +5 | +5 |